VanEck pointed out that Bitcoin computing power decreased by 4% in a month, with miner capitulation emerging. History shows that the probability of long positions returning is increasing, and institutions are simultaneously accelerating their coin hoarding at low prices.
The latest report from asset management company VanEck indicates that recent Bitcoin mining activities have significantly cooled down, and based on historical experience, this could likely herald the return of long positions in Bitcoin.
In a research report released on Monday, VanEck noted that reviewing market patterns since 2014, when Bitcoin's total network Computing Power shows a contraction, there is a 65% probability that the investment return in the following 90 days will be positive; conversely, when the Computing Power continues to grow, the probability of a positive return is only 54%.
VanEck analysts pointed out that empirical data shows that "the decline in Computing Power may actually be a bullish signal for long positions," and described it as a contrarian indicator, often accompanied by "Miner Capitulation" - that is,