ChainCatcher reports that, according to Jintiao, an increasing number of options traders are ruling out expectations of a Fed rate cut in 2026, instead betting that interest rates will remain unchanged throughout the year. This trend can be traced back to last Friday, when US employment data showed an unexpected decrease in the unemployment rate. Based on market pricing, the likelihood of a Fed rate cut this month has almost been eliminated. TJM Institutional Services interest rate strategist David Robin pointed out that the probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates at least until March has increased. New options positions are mainly concentrated in March and June contracts to hedge against the scenario of a continued delay in the Fed’s next rate cut.
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