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#机构采用 Recently saw a report from Citibank, and although they lowered the target prices for some crypto stocks, they still remain optimistic about the entire industry? At first, I was a bit confused, but after taking a closer look, I understood—this is actually a good sign 😊
For big companies like Circle and Coinbase, Citibank still maintains a buy rating, indicating that institutional investors and traditional finance are gradually entering the market. Although current prices are well below the target prices, what does this mean? It indicates there is still room for growth!
What I feel most

#比特币价格与估值 Just saw a news story and I’m a bit stunned 🤔 Is BitMine’s Ethereum holding showing an unrealized loss of $4.121 billion? That number is really shocking... It seems like these big institutions are all losing money, so what should we small investors do? 😅
After taking a closer look at the data, the ETH holding cost is $3,906, and it’s now only $2,868, so the decline is indeed significant. On the other hand, the Bitcoin strategy still shows an unrealized profit of $7.649 billion. Does this mean that BTC is relatively more resistant to declines? Or am I misunderstanding?
Recently, Bi

#比特币价格预测 Wait, has the Bank of Japan raised interest rates? 🤔 I thought that rate hikes would be bearish for the crypto market, but after reading these analysts' opinions, many are actually bullish on Bitcoin? What's going on...
After a careful read, I realized it's all about the logic of the yen depreciating. Japan has long-term negative real interest rates, and raising rates can't change this big environment; instead, it might lead to further yen depreciation. Arthur Hayes even said Bitcoin could rise to a million dollars, which sounds a bit exaggerated 😅, but I understand his logic — in

#加密货币监管框架 I recently saw a news report saying that the "CLARITY Act" will be submitted to the Senate for discussion in January. It seems quite important? 🤔 But honestly, I’m a bit confused; the term "regulatory framework" sounds a bit complicated.
From the information available, it seems to be about clarifying what agencies like the SEC and CFTC are responsible for, and defining cryptocurrencies as securities or commodities. Looking at it from another angle, isn’t this just about setting rules for the entire market? It feels a bit like transitioning from the "wild growth" phase to the "forma

#美联储降息预期 I recently saw news about the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates, and I’m a bit confused, but I feel this might be an important signal for the crypto world? 🤔
I heard that the CPI report performed well, with inflation actually below the Fed’s 2% target, and there’s an economic advisor named Hasset who said the Fed has "ample room" to cut rates? What does this mean, and how might rate cuts affect cryptocurrencies?
I’ve heard people discuss before that when interest rates decline, more people tend to seek high-yield assets, and cryptocurrencies might get renewed attention? But som

#预测市场 I just saw someone on Twitter confidently say that something "will definitely happen," and I was so scared I broke out in a cold sweat😅 But then I found something interesting—the prediction market!
Vitalik recently wrote that prediction markets are like a "cure" for social media, and this analogy is so fitting! For example, when Elon Musk said a civil war in the UK is "inevitable," it sounded terrifying, but the prediction market on Polymarket only assigns a 3% probability to that. This contrast instantly calmed me down😌
The key is—there are real stakes involved in prediction markets!

#市场周期与投资策略 I just saw an expert's analysis saying that now is the best spot investment zone??? I need to understand this logic well 😅
I've been struggling with the recent volatility, watching the K-line fluctuate wildly and feeling especially anxious, afraid of buying at the top. But he mentioned that after Japan's interest rate hike, it's the "last major negative news to be exhausted"—what does that mean? — Does it mean that most of the bad news has been released and things will get better from here?
What moved me the most was this sentence: "If you want to earn a few thousand dollars in re

#预测市场 I just saw Bitcoin prediction data on Polymarket, and I was a bit shocked 😅 The probability of reaching $100,000 again within this year is only 11%, and there's still a 24% chance of dropping below $80,000... It feels like market sentiment has cooled down quite a bit from the previous optimism.
Honestly, I haven't been in the space for long, and these prediction probabilities are a bit confusing to me. I want to ask everyone, how does this kind of prediction market actually work? Are all participants voting together to decide? Do these numbers represent real funds being bet? 💭
And I c

#预测市场平台 I just saw someone on Weibo say "something will definitely happen 100%", and I believed it at the time. I checked the prediction market data on Polymarket, and it turns out there's only a 3% chance 😅 The gap is just too big!
It feels like I've discovered something incredible—the prediction market can actually help us distinguish truth from falsehood? Vitalik said it well: on social media, making up stories and creating panic doesn't have to be responsible, but in prediction markets, real money is at stake, and lying means losing money 🔥 Thinking this way, market prices seem to becom

#美联储政策 Recently studying how Federal Reserve policies impact the crypto world, I saw news saying that the market expects another 3 basis points of easing by the end of 2026. I'm a bit confused 🤔
I've always heard people say "Federal Reserve rate cuts are good for Bitcoin," but I never quite understood how exactly that benefits Bitcoin. Now I’m gradually understanding that lower interest rates mean reduced returns on traditional investments, making it easier for money to flow into high-risk assets like cryptocurrencies.
However, the concept of "interest rate swaps" is still a bit complex. It

#预测市场 I recently came across Polymarket, a prediction market platform, and I was amazed! 🤯 Turns out you can use this method to predict political events? After watching Waller's interview with the Federal Reserve Chair, his probability on the platform changed from a certain number to 14%, it felt like watching a real-time "betting game."
But honestly, I’m still a bit confused. How exactly does a prediction market work? Is it just everyone betting money, and whoever predicts correctly makes money? 🤔 And how is that 14% calculated? Is it based on market trading volume or something else? It fe

#比特币技术分析 Just saw the analysis of Ethereum's key support level at $2772, feeling a bit nervous 😅 The technical weakening sounds like a bad sign...
I'd like to ask everyone, what exactly does this "key support level" mean? Does it mean the price will bounce back when it hits this point, or does it mean it's over once it breaks below? If it breaks below $2772, the next support levels are at $2489 and $1866. Why are these numbers so far apart?
Recently I've been learning technical analysis, and with so much data and information, I feel a bit overwhelmed, but I also worry about missing important

Oh my god, I just saw the Galaxy Research forecast report, and I am completely stunned. 😱 BTC to reach $250,000 by the end of 2027? What kind of concept is that... How much is it now? My mind is a bit overwhelmed.
The most outrageous part is the data from the options market, with a 50/50 chance of the price being either $50,000 or $250,000 by the end of the year? That gap is just too huge! It feels like 2026 is like a "probability gamble," and even experts say the market is too chaotic to predict accurately. What should I do as a newbie?
But on the other hand, the predictions that the total m

#稳定币市场竞争与发展 Today I saw a news story that the Federal Reserve surprisingly withdrew its previous "strong opposition" to banks engaging in crypto activities??? What does this mean? It feels like there has been a major shift in regulatory attitude🔄
I used to think that banks and cryptocurrencies were arch-rivals, but after some research, I realized—2023 policies mainly focused on restricting banks from issuing stablecoins and holding Bitcoin. Now the Federal Reserve says "we understand the change," and is giving different types of banks more operational flexibility😲
What does this mean for st

#AI与加密货币结合 Just saw CZ's year-end Q&A, and I was a bit stunned😲 He said that AI and robots will inevitably use cryptocurrencies on a large scale in the future because they simply can't open bank accounts or go through KYC verification... I didn't initially grasp this logic, but the more I think about it, the more it seems reasonable!
It feels like I previously had a too one-sided understanding of cryptocurrencies, always thinking of them as tools for human trading and investment, never considering that they might be the "universal language" of the machine world. Moreover, CZ mentioned that t

#稳定币市场发展 I just saw CZ's year-end Q&A, and that part about stablecoins really opened a new world for me 🤯
I used to think stablecoins were just USDT, USDC, and the like, and it sounded like the market was already saturated. But CZ said what we see now is only "Generation 1.5 stablecoins," and the true Stablecoin 2.0 version hasn't been launched on a large scale yet... What does this mean? I feel like it's saying this track is just getting started?
Another piece of data that really shocked me—cryptocurrency penetration rate by total wealth might still be less than 1%! Does this mean the marke

#加密货币监管政策 Recently, while browsing news, I came across a story that the U.S. Senate approved Trump's nominations for the CFTC and FDIC chairs. These two agencies seem to be set to become the main forces in cryptocurrency regulation? 🤔
Honestly, I’m a bit confused. I’ve heard there are so many regulatory agencies, but I’m not quite clear on what the CFTC does. But many big names under this news are saying it’s a positive sign, that the CFTC might become the main department for crypto regulation, and the acting chair before supported crypto?
I want to ask everyone, what does this personnel cha

#美联储流动性政策 Recently, the news from the Federal Reserve has been a bit confusing😅 Rate cuts + hawkish tilt—this "both ways" approach—is it trying to walk a tightrope between supporting the economy with rate cuts and controlling inflation?
But what really caught my attention is this AI company🤔 Turns out everyone is frantically pouring money into AI infrastructure, but their revenue hasn't kept up? This sounds a bit like real estate speculation logic... huge investments but cash flow hasn't materialized yet. If a stock market revaluation really happens in 2026, could it ripple through the cryp

#比特币价格走势 I just saw an analysis report suggesting that Bitcoin might drop to $60,000-$65,000 in the first half of next year😅 Honestly, this makes me a bit nervous... I used to think it would keep rising.
But after carefully examining the analyst's logic, they say this decline could be a "better entry point," with a year-end target of $115,000. It feels like they are saying—there might be short-term risks to digest, but the long-term outlook remains optimistic?
The Ethereum forecast is also quite interesting, indicating it might be relatively stronger, with a expected dip to $1,800-$2,000, bu

#证券代币化与RWA Recently, RWA (Real-World Asset Tokenization) has been all over the news. Coinbase's launch of Coinbase Tokenize left me a bit confused—are they really saying that stocks and real estate can be tokenized and put on the blockchain?🤔
This seems completely different from my previous understanding of the crypto world. It feels like exchanges are now engaged in a big battle. Hyperliquid is choosing to be a "low-fee execution layer," while Coinbase aims to be an "all-in-one trading platform," even offering 3.5% annual yield on USDC...
I’d like to ask the veterans here: which of these tw