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#网络钓鱼与欺诈 Recently saw Wang Chun's comment, couldn't help but laugh and feel a bit upset. Verifying a private key with 500 BTC, and the hacker still "considerately" left 10 — behind this almost joke-like experience is the ongoing neglect of security across the entire ecosystem.
Thinking of the malicious code incident with Polymarket copy trading bots, I suddenly realize a harsh reality: risks never come only from technical vulnerabilities; more often, they stem from the temptation of "convenience." Those malicious packages hidden on GitHub may seem like developer issues on the surface, but fun

The data from the Brazil market is very interesting—trading volume increased by 43%, and per capita investment exceeded $1,000. This reflects a shift from pure speculation to structured investment in the market. More notably, 18% of investors are starting to diversify their allocations, with stablecoin trading volume soaring to three times last year's level.
This tells me a core logic: when the macro environment is uncertain, the market automatically lowers risk appetite. From another perspective, this is exactly when the multi-asset allocation and copy trading strategies come into play. Recen

The divergence at the Federal Reserve is becoming increasingly apparent. Hamrick's recent remarks essentially dampen expectations of rate cuts next year—inflation remains her main concern, not employment. This has a direct impact on our follow-trade strategies.
Those traders who previously bet on rapid rate cuts now need to reassess their position logic. I've been observing a few aggressive traders; they were still shorting the dollar in early December, but now they have to face the reality of the Fed's policy shift—interest rates staying high until spring, which could give the dollar a reboun

#预测市场 After reading CZ's year-end Q&A, the part about prediction markets was quite interesting. He said that it's still impossible to determine which project will win, but the next hot event could decide the short-term winner— the US presidential election will be a watershed moment.
I deeply resonate with this. The prediction market sector is still in its wild growth phase, with traders employing different strategies, some aggressive and some conservative, exploring the space. The real opportunity isn't in betting on a specific project, but in observing who can maintain popularity before majo

#加密监管政策 TikTok's recent ban came quite timely. After reviewing the details of the new regulations, the core is to block the loopholes used to publish illegal financial content under the guise of "blockchain, digital assets." To be honest, this doesn't affect those who are genuinely involved in trading very much, but it is a heavy blow to accounts that rely on creating anxiety and selling "guaranteed profit" schemes.
This also reminds us of a reality: policy tightening is a long-term trend, and platform regulation will only become stricter. For copy traders, it serves as a filtering mechanism—

#预测市场平台 The prediction market is back again, this time with the Solana ecosystem's Space. After reviewing the white paper, a few details are worth pondering.
First is the mechanism design—10x leverage + 0 Maker fee, a combination that is indeed rare in prediction markets. The higher the leverage, the greater the potential returns, but it also means tighter stop-loss levels. My experience is that such high-leverage products are suitable for traders with strict risk control habits who follow along, with a recommended position size of 5-10% of total funds; otherwise, a black swan could lead to l

#比特币价格走势 Seeing the data update from Polymarket, the market's expectation of Bitcoin reaching 100,000 again this year is indeed waning — based on earlier data, this probability has already dropped to 11%. To be honest, this reflects not a technical issue but a re-pricing of psychological expectations.
The enthusiasm for 100,000 at the beginning of the year now seems overly optimistic. The market is reassessing: a 32% chance of reaching 95,000, and a 24% chance of dropping below 80,000 — this divergence indicates that the current consensus is "there is a ceiling, but also a bottom."
From a cop

#美联储政策 The suspense around the Federal Reserve Chair this time is indeed quite interesting. After Waller's interview, the probability on Polymarket is only 14%, while Haskett has surged directly to 56%—such reversals in probability often correspond to real shifts in capital flow in policy markets.
From a trading perspective, the logic behind this is worth pondering. Haskett advocates for more aggressive fiscal stimulus, which is clearly favorable for risk assets; whereas Waller, being more hawkish, has a relatively reserved market acceptance. Moving forward, the performance of US Treasury yie

#AI交易应用 CZ's words hit the core paradox of AI trading. Over the past few years, I've followed many accounts claiming to use "AI algorithms," and as you know—the majority are just scams to fleece retail investors.
The truth is: if an AI strategy truly offers stable profits, why package it as a monthly subscription service for retail traders? Isn't it better to use your own funds to amplify the gains? CZ's logic is spot on. Once this strategy is used by thousands simultaneously, the market will react immediately, and the strategy's effectiveness will plummet. It's like a well-known trick—once m

#资产代币化 This analysis is quite interesting. The five historical instances where RSI fell below 30 all resulted in bullish rebounds. If this pattern continues, reaching 170,000 within three months is not a dream. But the key still depends on the actions of institutions—Bitwise mentioned record inflows into crypto ETFs, which is the real sign of incremental capital.
Recently, I’ve been reviewing the performance of several top traders’ followings and found that in this window of expectation reversal, a diversified position strategy is especially important. Aggressive traders usually position them

#比特币价格走势 Galaxy Research's report seems to give the market a very wide expected range—probability is evenly split between BTC ending the year at 50,000 and 250,000. This "Schrödinger's Bitcoin" situation indicates that institutions are indeed uncertain about 2026.
But this is precisely an opportunity to follow the trend. I've been observing the positions of a few experts recently, and interestingly, their styles are completely polarized—aggressive traders are actually increasing long positions for long-term allocation amid this uncertainty, while conservative traders are repeatedly engaging i

#美联储降息 Recently, I saw two macro analysts with opposing views, which is quite interesting. One says that in the short term, Bitcoin is bearish (unless there is nuclear-level money printing, then it would tighten), while the other argues that Bitcoin should rise under a loose liquidity environment. On the surface, their expectations are divergent, but fundamentally, it reflects differing interpretations of the Federal Reserve's rate cut pace.
My judgment is as follows: The "nuclear-level money printing" threshold mentioned by Luke Gromen is indeed very high, and I haven't seen such a possibili

#稳定币市场发展 Stablecoins 1.5 generation: this wave of market行情 is worth关注. CZ's judgment is not without reason—USDT, USDC, those老牌 players indeed haven't provided any收益 to持币者, and the market is eager for products with增量价值. The emergence of FDUSD and USD1 just happens to fit this position, but they have不同的路径.
FDUSD is limited by法币通道, so its growth ceiling is visible; USD1, on the other hand, has a solid foundation in the US, which is the关键. However, looking at the提案风波 of World Liberty, we can see that token激励, while capable of拉用户, also容易招致持币人反感—after all, everyone fears their holdings being稀释.
Fro

#AI与加密货币结合 After reading CZ's remarks, I have to admit that he pointed out the core paradox of AI trading agents—it's truly eye-opening. If an AI algorithm could really make stable profits, why would it be packaged as a SaaS subscription sold to retail investors? Unless its returns simply can't support team funding.
But this is precisely my personal experience with copy trading over this period. The market is always a zero-sum game; true experts either trade themselves or work in deep collaboration with a few trusted backers. Those projects that heavily promote "AI must win" are essentially j

The Fed's recent actions are indeed worth paying attention to. Reversing the 2023 crypto restrictions and shifting to a case-by-case approval process essentially signals a softening of regulatory attitudes. The impact on trading liquidity is tangible—an increase in participation from banks means that on-chain funds and traditional finance channels are expanding, and this incremental liquidity often manifests in price movements.
But here’s a key point to observe: policy easing ≠ immediate influx of funds. In past years, we've seen many scenarios where "positive policy news led to gains on the s

#加密货币监管政策 Seeing the news that Lummis will step down in 2027, my first reaction is: political cycles are short, but policy dividends last long. She is pushing cryptocurrency legislation as a political legacy, what does this mean for the entire industry?
Honestly, clarifying the regulatory framework is a double-edged sword. In the short term, reduced policy uncertainty will attract traditional capital, and institutional traders who follow early movers will have many profit opportunities. But in the long run, once regulations are truly implemented, market structure will be reshaped—those strate

#美联储降息政策 After reviewing QCP's analysis, the core logic is actually quite clear: the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates 2-3 times next year, which should be positive for risk assets, but the "discrepancy between AI investment's virtual and real value" is becoming a market time bomb.
Here is a key data point worth noting—if AI companies' revenue growth cannot keep pace with investment, the risk spillover could trigger a broader revaluation of stock market values by 2026. In other words, the seemingly stable AI boom now may only be temporary confidence support.
From a follow-the-leader pers

#美联储降息政策 The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in January has reached 75.6%. This data reflects a clear slowdown in the pace of rate cuts—markets were previously expecting continuous rate reductions, but now it seems we need to prepare for a prolonged battle.
Even more interesting is the upcoming rate hike by the Bank of Japan. As Japan is the largest foreign holder of U.S. debt, a rate increase there would attract capital back, pushing U.S. Treasury yields higher. This directly threatens the previous logic of lowering mortgage rates and boosting the stock market.

#稳定币 Intuit's move is quite interesting. With billions of dollars in capital flow, once the USDC payment channel is truly opened, the application boundaries of stablecoins will no longer be limited to crypto circles. Refunds, salaries, invoicing—these scenarios are essentially high-frequency small transactions, and blockchain's advantages can indeed be reflected here—lower costs and faster settlement.
From a follow-trade perspective, such ecosystem expansion events often signal a wave of expectation differences. In the short term, they may trigger emotional fluctuations related to USDC assets

#RWA代币化 JPMorgan's move to migrate JPM Coin from a private chain to Base seems to be more than just a technical upgrade; it's a strategic step by institutional capital to pave the way for RWA tokenization. As a on-chain representation of bank deposits, JPMD essentially addresses a real pain point—institutions need higher-credit on-chain payment tools rather than relying solely on stablecoins.
This provides some inspiration for copy-trading strategies. When large institutions start entering a certain track, it often indicates improvements in liquidity and compliance. Risk-tolerant traders will